Global decline in birth rates and fertility
NYTimes profile on global trend of declining fertility/birth rates.
- US and China censuses showed slowest rate of population increase on record
- Trend is global, affecting all countries
- 20th century saw huge boom in population, 1.6 billion -> 6 billion
- Africa is exception, many families still having many children
- India and Mexico were high growth in the past, now hovering around replacement rate (2.1 children per woman)
- South Korea has lowest rate in the world, 0.92 children per woman. Government has incentives to encourage more children.
- In Japan, adult diapers outsell baby diapers
- Sweden is re-purposing childcare facilities to old folks homes
There are also lots of doom and gloom predictions:
- Projection that by year 2100, China will go from 1.4 billion people to 730 million
- By the year 2100, 183 countries in the world (out of 195) will be below replacement rate.
Projections to 2100 of course are entirely untrustworthy.